Red Sox-led committee to study the slow pace of MLB games, and recommend change to speed things up.
Lucrative revenue splits and performance incentives ensure that winning in the playoffs pays off in more ways than one.
Below are eight areas where MLB can make strides in that area:
1) Speed up the game
While the length of games is troubling, it’s probably the pace of the game that has hurt MLB’s standing with kids who have short attention spans. Baseball should never try to be like the X Games, but there are a myriad of ideas out there to move the game along.
One MLB executive recently said games should be shortened to 7 innings. While that’s an interesting idea, it does reduce the number of at-bats for star hitters. Instead, MLB could consider a radical idea such as limiting the number of foul balls per at-bat. If a foul ball with two strikes resulted in an out, then pitchers would have fewer high-pitch innings which some doctors believe is more damaging to arms than high-pitch games. Even allowing only one foul with two strikes would help.
That might reduce scoring, but if soccer is already more popular than MLB in some circles, then lack of scoring probably isn’t baseball’s problem.
When Dodgers broadcaster Vin Scully was asked once about the pace of games, he noted Velcro was a problem:
“I partly blame it on Velcro,” said Scully, referring to the advent of batting gloves and players’ tendency to adjust them unceasingly during at-bats.
“In the old days,” Scully said, “there was no nonsense, no fussing.”
MLB could ban Velcro batting gloves and force players to wear fitted gloves. There are other ideas that MLB could test in the minor leagues. In the past they’ve tested a rule that banned hitters from leaving the batters box between pitches. There is technically a pitch clock that begins when the umpire or catcher throws the ball back to the mound. That pitch clock could be displayed in the stadium, and umpires could make greater efforts to enforce the rule. Similarly, there could also be a clock on pitching changes and mound visits.
Modern technology allows balls and strikes to be called without an umpire’s interpretation of the strike zone. If those calls were taken out of the umpire’s hands, then the strike zone could also be increased in size, further helping pitchers’ arms.
All of these suggestions are fairly radical, but MLB rarely changes its rules. In the past, the NBA has seen a boost when it widened the lane and implemented the three-point shot. After a season-ending lockout in 2005, the NHL adjusted its rules to allow for a more wide-open game. It’s time for MLB to think outside of the box as well.
2) Shorten the season
MLB’s postseason ratings have steadily declined over the years, with the 2012 World Series averaging a record-low 12.7 million viewers a night. Today, MLB postseason games regularly get pummeled by NFL regular season games when they go head-to-head. The NFL’s popularity is so great that MLB’s late-season pennant races receive second billing on shows like SportsCenter come September.
At 162 games, MLB has the longest season of any pro sports league. It could stand to cut a good month off the season. The regular season could finish up at the end of August, when baseball would have much less competition for news coverage. The Division Series games could take place during Labor Day weekend, which is still almost a week before the NFL kicks off. The sport could attempt to use that momentum to lead into later postseason rounds.
It’s easy to say that MLB should cut 30 games, or nearly 20 percent of its season, but that also would mean a 20 percent reduction in attendance and TV revenue, and the league may then try to persuade players to take 20 percent less in salary. Alternatively, MLB could cut fewer games, and move the start of the season back into March.
The worst time of year for MLB attendance is September, when school is back in session and many teams are eliminated from the pennant race. An August pennant race would receive better TV coverage, and uncompetitive teams would still benefit with kids on summer break. Also, the playoffs and World Series would take place in warm weather rather than the late fall.
3) Stiffer steroid penalties
The Biogenesis scandal proved that steroids are still in the game today, and that continues to cast a shadow over achievements by some of the sports best players. MLB and the players union recently agreed to new stricter steroid penalties – now 80 games for a first-time offense and 162 games without pay for a second offense.
But those may not prove enough of a deterrent. If MLB really wants to make a statement, it could go with an Olympic-style two-year ban for any player caught using performance-enhancing substances. Additionally, they could make all contracts non-guaranteed for steroid cheats.
The players union finally sees eye to eye with MLB on this issue, so even stronger penalties should be more possible.
4) Encourage players to use social media
No team sport encourages individual play more than baseball. So it’s rather surprising that MLB players lag far behind NFL and NBA athletes on Twitter, Facebook and other networks. MLB needs to hire social media experts and then have them consult with players.
MLB currently requires players to do media interviews. Maybe it’d be smart to require players with multi-year contracts to tweet regularly. At the very least, they should be encouraged to do so. The sport cannot reach young fans if they don’t have a presence in media that today’s youth consume.
5) Keep more players on the same team
It’s awfully difficult to follow MLB with players switching teams so often. The league needs to incentivize teams to keep their own players. There’s two potential ways to do this.
First, the new fad in MLB has been for teams to sign young players to long-term extensions that buy out their arbitration years, plus a few years past their sixth season (players are under team control for their first six years). These contracts are great for the game and for local communities. MLB could further encourage young stars to stay by reaching a compromise with the players union that would reduce team control to five years. In exchange, these players would become restricted free agents after that fifth year.
The NBA has a similar rule in place, and it’s kept many young players on their teams for an even longer period of time. It would also divert more money to younger players, who are more likely to live up to their contracts in their late 20s and early 30s, making less money available for older and less effective players.
MLB should also eliminate draft compensation. As it stands, many teams are incentivized to let free agents sign elsewhere because they receive draft picks. It also hurts players who have trouble signing with new teams that are afraid of losing picks. Ubaldo Jimenez and Ervin Santana are two recent free agents who weren’t signed until after spring training began for this very reason. In general, keeping players on the same team is a good thing. But MLB could compromise by allowing teams to trade draft picks, helping teams in a pennant race acquire help without giving up a prospect.
6) Increase Revenue Sharing
The formula for revenue sharing has not changed materially in the past decade. While many will claim that it’s less necessary because small-market teams have had success on the field, the differences in payroll between baseball’s haves and have-nots still have a major impact.
Studies have shown that payroll has a stronger correlation to attendance than wins. That was evident this last season as the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Indians both made the American League playoffs, and they were last and second-to-last in attendance in the league. Both teams have low payrolls.
While not always logical, fans think that if a payroll is low, their team is not trying to win. If MLB can increase the revenue-sharing pool available to small-market clubs, and then somehow force those teams to use those funds on salaries, then local fans might be more enthusiastic about their home teams’ efforts.
Fantasy baseball lags behind fantasy football in number of team owners in part because fantasy baseball is a much more time-consuming enterprise.
Weekly fantasy football leagues allow fans more time between games to adjust their lineups. Every fantasy baseball league I’ve ever played in has suffered by multiple owners failing to regularly manage their teams. Adjusting lineups daily and keeping track of stats for a large number of players can be a chore.
Fortunately, there is an alternative to fantasy baseball that can attract young fans and isn’t as time consuming. Sites such as FanDuel, Draft Kings and Draft Street offer daily fantasy games that aren’t too different from gambling. Fans can play for a small entry fee and potentially win cash prizes. These games are legal under federal gambling laws. They begin and end every day, so they can be played whenever it’s convenient for the fan.
MLB is currently experimenting on a partnership with Draft Kings, and the game earned rave reviews. This is a partnership that needs to be expanded and heavily promoted. Fantasy football and gambling has contributed immensely to the success of the NFL. Daily fantasy games might be the key to helping boost MLB, especially as the stigma of sports betting has faded.
8) Hire a new commissioner who has new ideas
Bud Selig has announced that 2014 will be his last season as MLB commissioner. While he’s stated his intention to retire before, it seems like this time he’d really like to step aside. This affords MLB a unique opportunity.
The favorite to replace Selig is MLB Chief Operating Officer Rob Manfred. He might be the right man for the job. But MLB owners shouldn’t just hand the title over to him without casting a wide net for candidates. Owners should be asking potential commissioners about their innovative ideas to improve the sport and reach out to young fans.
One name that should be considered is Pac-12 Commissioner Larry Scott. He has done a phenomenal job of reversing the fortunes of the conference. Another name to consider is former NBA International President Heidi Ueberroth. The daughter of former MLB Commissioner Peter Ueberroth, Heidi learned under David Stern, and she would bring a new perspective to the sport as a woman.
Former AEG President and current Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment CEO Tim Leiweke could be another interesting choice, as he has a proven ability to execute big deals in the face of overwhelming opposition. MLB could also look to the NFL’s success and consider its Executive VP Eric Grubman.
One potential in-house candidate is MLBAM CEO Bob Bowman. Operating with more autonomy than most MLB executives, Bowman has built MLBAM into an immensely profitable enterprise, and he’s shown a great understanding of the sports online marketplace.
Whomever MLB decides to hire will need a plan to reach out to younger fans in order to ensure the sport’s popularity in the years and decades ahead.
The average age of a World Series viewer last year was 54-years-old… here we outline why baseball has suffered with kids.
It is often stated in sports and in business that, “It’s not how you start, it’s how you finish.” But when it comes to being the commissioner of a major sports league, the two are inextricably linked because a commissioner’s legacy is rooted in what he has been hired by his bosses, the team owners, to initially address and eventually accomplish.
This will soon be abundantly clear to those hoping to become the next MLB commissioner. Moreover, those hoping to ascend to the top job in baseball can learn from the recent transitions of their peers.
Candidates for MLB’s top position recognize that their success is primarily measured by how they increase franchise values during their tenure. In order to increase these values, commissioners must consider what is in the best interest of the league in perpetuity, while recognizing the impact that daily policy decisions have on asset appreciation over time.
To oversimplify the matter, building franchise value requires strong media distribution, a stable labor force, and the ability to successfully manage government relations. Until or unless these three pillars are squarely in place, revenue cannot be maximized. Nor can franchise values steadily increase over time, as has been the case across the major leagues, including MLB where average franchise values increased 9% over the last year to $811 million according to Forbes.
And because perpetuity begins on day one, so too does the opportunity to shape legacy. The two most recent transitions, from NFL Commissioner Paul Tagliabue to Roger Goodell in 2006, and from NBA Commissioner David Stern to Adam Silver earlier this year, could not have been more seamless had each used a telestrator.
In both of these transitions, owners largely sought more of the same; steady leadership on key initiatives where early buy-in was apparent, if not explicit. Goodell needed to address labor relations, extend broadcasting and cable TV deals, and focus on stadium development, especially the gameday experience, among other imperatives. Out of the gate, Silver has been focused on the ever-evolving media landscape, as well as on sponsorship opportunities, international market development, and the enhanced use of technology. Ultimately, both are keenly aware of the need to focus on the fans, whether these fans are consuming content at home, while on the go, or at the venue.
In the short run, one way to measure just how well a commissioner is doing is to take a look at his league’s estimated revenue, as well as his paycheck.
According to Forbes, NFL franchise values have grown steadily under Goodell. The average value of a franchise when he took over was just less than $900 million. Today, more than 70% of teams are now worth in excess of $1 billion. Silver took over the NBA at a time when average franchise values exceed $600 million, and continue to grow steadily, if not rapidly, due to the revenue generated by regional TV networks and “new and improved” arenas.
Much has been made of Goodell’s controversial 2012 salary of $44 million. Regardless of the pension and bonus components of this compensation, it suffices to say that he has delivered on owner’s mandates; mandates that have escalated league revenue to approximately $10 billion annually.
Stern, for his part, earned an estimated $23 million his final year, a year in which league revenues approached $5 billion, up from the estimated $118 million when he began in 1984.
The lessons learned during these transitions will no doubt serve MLB well when Commissioner Bud Selig steps down at season’s end following more than twenty years guiding the sport. His replacement will likely result in those throughout the industry, as well as the sport’s fans, reminding themselves of the classic lyric by the Who, “Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.” But this time around, more of the same may not be enough.
While baseball indeed remains America’s pastime, it has much work to do to reclaim its title as America’s sport. Addressing issues ranging from the game’s pace and its aging fan base, to lagging attendance in many markets and an ever-burgeoning large market/small market divide caused by regional TV deals, will be among the next commissioner’s initial undertakings. With league revenue surpassing $8 billion, there is much to be bullish about regarding MLB.
Nevertheless, the sport’s next leader will need to be proactive in tackling these challenges, while simultaneously taking further advantage of the opportunities associated with Major League Baseball Advanced Media, the internationalization of the game, and its recent approach to performance enhancing drugs.
As is always the case this time of year, baseball fans look forward to perfectly manicured fields and the smell of clean cut grass. And, as is the case this year, commissioners in-waiting are paying close attention to two other forms of green.
Television broadcasters await a ruling against Aereo from Supreme Court as sports leagues everywhere watch with bated breath.
FTW takes a look at Bryce Harper’s odd Gatorade commercial.